NOVA | IBIT RSI TMF WGMI checks
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Own Bitcoin after sharp short‑term drops. If bond yields just spiked, “buy the dip” in miners/blockchain (pick the one that fell more). Otherwise, park in cash‑like T‑Bills. Daily checks; TMF is used only as a signal for yield spikes.
Each day: If Bitcoin (via IBIT) has fallen quickly over ~2 weeks, own IBIT. Otherwise, if long‑term Treasury prices just plunged (TMF down hard → yields spiked), buy the Bitcoin‑miner or blockchain ETF (WGMI or BLOK) that dropped the most. If neither, sit in T‑Bills (BIL).
Nova blends tactical crypto exposure (BTC, miners) with yield-spike signals and a cash fallback. Out-of-sample: ~25.13% annualized vs S&P ~20.41%; Calmar ~1. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns and lower Sharpe than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.84 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.04% | 19.07% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.16 | |
| 276.42% | 88.48% | 2.05% | -3.53% | 1.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$37,641.75Regulatory Fees
$52.64
Total Slippage
$324.94
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, bitcoin, tactical allocation, mean reversion, miners, blockchain equities, treasury-yield signal, risk-on/off, cash-like t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLOK
Amplify Blockchain Technology ETF
Stocks
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
WGMI
Valkyrie ETF Trust II CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF
Stocks