NOVA | hwrdr - Asian Currency Crisis 2.0 | 2x Short Yen | BIL > BND & Strong $
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules‑based macro rotation. If longer US bonds (BND) trail T‑Bills (BIL) and the dollar (UUP) trends up, hold YCS (2× short yen). If bonds trail but the dollar isn’t strong, hold GLD (gold). If rates fall (BND beats BIL), hold IGHG (rate‑hedged corporate bonds).
Every day it asks two questions: 1) Have longer US bonds (BND) lagged T‑Bills (BIL) over ~3 months? If no, buy IGHG (investment‑grade bonds hedged against interest‑rate moves). If yes, check the US dollar trend with UUP (dollar index): if rising (price above 60‑day avg), buy YCS (2× short Japanese yen). If not rising, buy GLD (gold). It holds 100% in the chosen ETF until a signal flips.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.16 vs ~1.00; max drawdown 8.4% vs 18.8%; annualized return ~16.94% vs 17.54% S&P; Calmar ~2.03; beta ~0.12. A disciplined, single-asset rotation with stronger risk control than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.51% | 13.68% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.83 | |
| 441.62% | 14.74% | 1.6% | 6.03% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$54,161.78Regulatory Fees
$162.34
Total Slippage
$1,040.07
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 22, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro, trend-following, currency (usd/jpy), gold, corporate credit, tactical rotation, rules-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total