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NOVA | Big Tech Rabbit vs Turtle 0.0.0.3 - Including volatility checks (UVXY), TECS instead of TQQQ FTLT
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A one-asset-at-a-time, RSI-driven tech strategy. If short-term tech momentum is extreme, it buys volatility bets (UVXY/UVIX); if not, it shifts to a tech-bear position (TECS) as a fallback. No regular rebalancing; uses 100% of capital on the chosen ETF. High-risk, leveraged approach focused on tech and volatility.
NutHow it works
- The strategy looks at a list of tech-focused ETFs and big-tech proxies (examples include QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, VOOG, VOOG, TECS, and others) and measures a short-term momentum indicator over the last 10 days. The momentum measure is described as RSI (Relative Strength Index) with a threshold of 79, meaning the asset would be considered extremely overbought in the short term if its RSI reading is above 79. The system uses a very high threshold to avoid false positives. - If the RSI reading for a given proxy exceeds 79, the model triggers a move into volatility-based ETFs: ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) or UVIX (a 2x long VIX futures ETF). The asset weighting is 100% to these volatility vehicles at that moment (wt-cash-equal with 100/100 weight). - If the RSI signal is not triggered for the first proxy, the logic tests the next proxy in the chain (each with the same 100% cash-to-asset rule) and repeats the RSI check. This continues through a chain of proxies (QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, VOOG, VOOV, SPY-related proxies, XLP, and more, as shown in the nested structure). - If none of the RSI-based conditions fire across the entire chain, the strategy falls back to TECS, a 3x bear-tech ETF, meaning it shifts entirely into a bear-position on technology. In several branches the plan also considers TECL (a 3x tech bull ETF) as an option, but the deepest/last fallback shown is TECS when signals are non-affirmative. - The system does not rebalance on a periodic basis (rebalance: none) and uses a small corridor width (0.1) for position thresholds, implying infrequent or trigger-driven adjustments rather than regular rebalancing. - The overall goal is tactical: exploit potential near-term tech overbought conditions by hedging into volatility (UVXY/UVIX) or, failing that, by taking a bear-tech stance (TECS). The design emphasizes rapid shifts to a single asset, not gradual diversification across multiple assets. - Important caveats for a layperson: UVXY/UVIX are volatility bets and can be very volatile and decay with time; TECS is a bear/short tech exposure; both are leveraged products with higher risk than standard equity ETFs. The strategy relies on short-term momentum signals (RSI) that may occasionally misfire, leading to losses or whipsaws, especially in sideways markets. The heavy use of leverage and the no-rebalance rule can amplify returns and losses alike during volatile periods.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: about 36% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P, driven by RSI tech signals that flip to volatility bets or bear-tech hedges. Higher upside with disciplined risk; Calmar ~0.68 despite bigger drawdowns.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, tech, volatility, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AAPX
T-Rex 2X Long Apple Daily Target ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GGLL
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily GOOGL Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Stocks
MSFX
T-Rex 2X Long Microsoft Daily Target ETF
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
NVDX
T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toMSFX. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 26.06%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 59.38%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.