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Newish Short End Bond Symphony
Today’s Change

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About

Uses short‑term Treasury behavior to infer the interest‑rate regime, then adds quick risk checks (stocks vs utilities, volatility, real estate vs commodities) to rotate among tech‑led growth, Treasuries/defensives, or inflation hedges/shorts. Daily.
NutHow it works
1) Read short‑term Treasuries (SHY) with a heat meter (RSI). High = bond prices strong (rates easing); low = weak (rates tightening). 2) Check risk appetite: stocks vs utilities, real estate vs commodities, consumer sectors, volatility (VIX), and recent drawdown. 3) Allocate: growth/tech in recoveries; Treasuries/defensives in risk‑off; shorts plus energy/materials/agri in inflation shocks. Daily rebalance.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this rate-regime strategy targets higher upside with far less risk: ~43% annualized return vs ~18.6% for the S&P, max drawdown ~5.4% vs ~18.8%, Sharpe ~2.39 vs ~1.01, Calmar ~8 vs ~1.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.25
0.4
0.17
0.41
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
400.53%
13.98%
3.07%
6.63%
0.85
3,794.49%
34.66%
2.71%
11.03%
1.87
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$389,448.76
Regulatory Fees
$1,642.91
Total Slippage
$10,336.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro regime rotation, rates-sensitive, risk-on/off, tactical etfs, momentum & volatility, inflation hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type