New Signal, XLU and JNK [CMP]
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-signal, daily-rebalanced strategy that aims to ride Nasdaq strength by going all-in on TQQQ when XLU or JNK momentum relative to QQQ is favorable, otherwise staying in cash (BIL). High risk due to leverage; signals use 21-day RSI comparisons.
Day 1 and every day thereafter:
- Compute RSI over 21 days for XLU and QQQ, and for JNK and QQQ.
- Rule A: If RSI(XLU) < RSI(QQQ), allocate to TQQQ; otherwise allocate to BIL.
- Rule B: If RSI(JNK) > RSI(QQQ), allocate to TQQQ; otherwise allocate to BIL.
- Each rule is evaluated independently with a 100% allocation when its condition is met, implying two parallel decision tracks. The platform then combines the outcomes to form the final portfolio exposure (often capped at 100% total).
- Rebalance daily to reflect the latest signals.
What you’re buying/selling:
- TQQQ: a 3x bullish bet on Nasdaq-100 (very volatile).
- BIL: cash-like exposure (short-term Treasuries) to reduce risk when signals aren’t favorable.
This design uses momentum checks against QQQ to decide when risk-on Nasdaq exposure is warranted versus when to stay in cash-like assets.
Two-signal momentum strategy that rotates into 3x Nasdaq exposure (TQQQ) when favorable and into cash (BIL) otherwise. Out-of-sample annualized return ~28.9% vs S&P ~19%; higher upside with higher risk (drawdowns up to ~40%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 1.37 | 0.54 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 55,734.44% | 48.25% | 1.79% | 4.85% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,583,443.85Regulatory Fees
$12,912.03
Total Slippage
$78,219.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum-based, tactical, leveraged-equity, cash-like hedge, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total