New Signal, XLU and JNK [CMP]
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-signal market-timing strategy: it buys aggressive leveraged Nasdaq exposure when growth stocks look stronger than defensive assets, and otherwise parks money in short-term Treasury bills.
This strategy checks two market “mood” gauges every day using the last 21 trading days. One compares utility stocks (XLU, a defensive sector) to the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). The other compares risky corporate bonds (JNK) to QQQ.
Each test controls half the money. If a test looks positive, that half goes into TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that aims to deliver 3x the daily move of the Nasdaq 100. If not, that half goes into BIL, a very short-term Treasury-bill fund that acts like cash.
Out-of-sample edge: about 22.5% annualized return vs SPY about 17%, by tactically leveraging Nasdaq on momentum and parking in cash when weak. Higher upside and beta (~1.6), but larger drawdowns (up to 40% vs 19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 1.4 | 0.54 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852.68% | 14.45% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.88 | |
| 66,560.13% | 47.59% | -11.16% | -7.65% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,666,012.83Regulatory Fees
$12,581.27
Total Slippage
$95,572.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged equity, nasdaq, treasury bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total