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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based strategy that swings between 3x bull or 3x bear stock ETFs, a volatility spike hedge, and a bond/gold/dollar safety sleeve. It uses simple “trend and stretch” signals and interest-rate reads to seek upside while capping big losses.
Daily, it asks 3 questions: 1) Are stocks extremely hot or has volatility just spiked? If yes, hedge (UVXY) or sit in T‑Bills (BIL). 2) If not, split into S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Semiconductors and choose either 3x bull, 3x bear, or short‑term bonds based on trend and “overbought/oversold” tests. 3) A separate safety sleeve reads interest rates: it flips between long/short long‑term Treasuries (TMF/TMV), and, when conditions are calm and rates are friendly, runs a barbell of 3x S&P + 3x Treasuries; otherwise it holds gold, the US dollar, or short‑term bonds.
RSI = a quick meter of how stretched price is; high = overheated, low = washed‑out. Moving average = a trend line. Max drawdown = worst recent drop.
Out-of-sample, this rules-based strategy targets solid risk-adjusted gains: ~22.8% annualized return with Sharpe ~0.94 and Calmar ~0.71, while beta ~0.48. It aims to capture S&P upside but adds volatility hedges and bond/dollar rotations to cushion drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540.52% | 14% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.87 | |
| 2,328,404.24% | 103.28% | 0.52% | 0.81% | 2.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$232,850,423.94Regulatory Fees
$992,687.98
Total Slippage
$7,084,452.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum/rsi, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, risk-on/risk-off, bonds/gold/dollar rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks