NAILBOT FTLT
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Sits in T‑Bills unless QQQ is flat. When flat, it bets 100% on either Bitcoin or the most “charged‑up” choice among 3x homebuilders, high‑beta stocks, VIX, or 2x gold. Rebalances daily.
Every day it checks the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) over ~10 days. If QQQ is roughly flat (about −1% to +1%), it makes one aggressive bet: either Bitcoin (GBTC) or the single “hottest” of 4—NAIL (3x homebuilders), SPHB (high‑beta stocks), VIXM (market volatility), or UGL (2x gold)—picked by which moved around the most in the last 5 days. Otherwise it sits in BIL (T‑Bills).
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.20 vs ~1.11, return ~34% vs ~19%, drawdown ~15% vs ~19%, beta ~0.27, Calmar ~2.29. A risk-managed, opportunistic strategy aiming higher upside with less downside than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317.38% | 14.64% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 37,362.18% | 76.25% | 15.33% | 24.75% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,746,217.64Regulatory Fees
$13,418.39
Total Slippage
$86,916.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Daily tactical allocation, regime filter, volatility-based selection, leveraged etfs, crypto, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks