NAILBOT FTLT
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, cash-equal, momentum-driven, small multi-asset strategy that mainly bets on risk assets (levered/equity-like funds and volatility/gold proxies) but uses a short-term volatility screen and a broad-market signal (QQQ) to pull back into cash when conditions worsen. It also includes GBTC exposure and a safety hedge in a compact, rule-based framework.
- Start with cash and divide it equally among a selected group of assets each day.
- Build the asset pool from NAIL, SPHB, VIXM, UGL, GBTC, and a cash proxy (BIL).
- Safer NAIL step: among the four risk assets (NAIL, SPHB, VIXM, UGL), pick the one with the lowest short-term volatility (based on a 5-day lookback). This is the “safest” choice among the risk set.
- Momentum filter: among the candidates (including the Safer NAIL choice and GBTC, possibly others in the pool), evaluate their 10-day moving-average return and pick the top one.
- Market-state gate using QQQ (Nasdaq-100 tracking ETF): if the 10-day cumulative return of QQQ is better than -1%, proceed with the risk-asset pick(s); if not, shift toward BIL (cash). There is an additional nested condition that can push toward BIL in certain QQQ-return ranges, reinforcing a safety bias in weak markets.
- Apply equal cash weights to the final selected assets and rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample performance beats the S&P 500: ~34% annualized return vs ~19%, Sharpe ~1.20 vs ~1.11, Calmar ~2.29, drawdown ~15% vs ~19%, beta ~0.27. Risk-managed, momentum-driven, multi-asset strategy with cash guard.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308.64% | 14.36% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 35,081.54% | 74.86% | 8.13% | 23.16% | 1.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,518,153.50Regulatory Fees
$13,843.74
Total Slippage
$89,760.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-managed, multi-asset, momentum-based, dynamic-allocation, levered-exposures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks