NAILBOT FTLT
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily strategy that only takes big risks when the Nasdaq has been going sideways; otherwise it hides in Treasury bills. When it does take risk, it chooses among very aggressive trades like Bitcoin, leveraged homebuilders, volatile stocks, gold, or volatility futures.
Every day, the strategy first checks QQQ, a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100. If QQQ moved more than about 1% up or down over the last 10 trading days, it avoids risk and sits in BIL, a very short-term Treasury-bill fund.
If QQQ was roughly flat, it takes risk: it picks either GBTC (Bitcoin exposure) or one very volatile asset from a basket including NAIL (3x homebuilders), SPHB (high-beta stocks), VIXM (stock-market volatility), and UGL (2x gold).
Out-of-sample annual return ~43.7% with lower volatility and much stronger risk-adjusted metrics than the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.35, Calmar ~2.91, max drawdown ~15% (vs ~19%), beta ~0.31. Tactical risk-on/risk-off, higher upside in uncertain markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374.64% | 15.08% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 52,796.23% | 76.01% | -5.09% | 30.24% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,289,623.39Regulatory Fees
$14,690.29
Total Slippage
$122,778.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market regime, momentum, volatility, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, crypto exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks