NAIL FTLT w/BDRY Switch
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based “traffic-light” system: if global risk looks weak, hold cash; if trends are healthy, press aggressive growth (often leveraged tech/homebuilders); if weak, buy only deep dips or rotate into defensive assets. Small crypto sleeve when Bitcoin trends up.
Think of it as traffic lights for risk.
1) If a global shipping gauge (BDRY) looks weak, sit in T‑bills (cash-like).
2) If it’s ok, check the S&P 500 vs its long-term average. Above it: take growth bets (often leveraged tech/homebuilders), sometimes picking recent laggards for rebounds. Below it: try buying very sharp dips; if no dip, move to defense (bonds, staples, low-vol, strong dollar, or even short tech/vol hedges).
3) A small crypto sleeve (GBTC) turns on only when Bitcoin’s short-term trend is up.
Notes: RSI ≈ how fast price has risen/fallen lately; moving average = typical price over X days; drawdown = drop from a recent peak. This is an aggressive, fast-switching plan; losses can be large.
Out-of-sample edge: ~113% annualized return with Sharpe ~2.09 and Calmar ~4.93, delivering stronger risk-adjusted upside than the S&P 500; a disciplined, regime-switching system that targets big gains while controlling risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180.99% | 14.63% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.8 | |
| 9,660.85% | 83.19% | 4.74% | 17.09% | 2.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$976,084.89Regulatory Fees
$1,744.94
Total Slippage
$11,172.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical trend-following, regime switching, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, dip buying, volatility hedging, crypto sleeve
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BDRY
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DIA
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IXP
iShares Global Comm Services ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks