NAIL FTLT w/BDRY Switch
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switchboard that flips between offense (3× tech/semis/market ETFs) and defense (T‑Bills, bonds, staples, dollar, volatility, or short Nasdaq) using S&P 500 trend, a shipping gauge (BDRY), and hot/cold signals (RSI). ~10% crypto when trending up.
Daily rules: 1) Is the S&P 500 above its 200‑day average? If not, it buys only steep dips; otherwise it de‑leverages into safer sectors/bonds or shorts the Nasdaq. 2) If yes, it also checks a shipping fund (BDRY). Weak BDRY ⇒ T‑Bills; strong ⇒ buy dips in 3× growth ETFs, or add small hedges (volatility, bonds, staples, dollar) when the market looks “too hot.” ~10% crypto (GBTC) only when above its 50‑day average. RSI = a simple “hot/cold” speed gauge.
Regime-switching, rules-based strategy aimed at higher upside with controlled risk. Out-of-sample annualized return ~119% vs SPY ~28%, Calmar ~5.18—strong risk-adjusted performance and more upside than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.34% | 14.24% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.78 | |
| 8,316.79% | 77.96% | -5.93% | -14.46% | 1.98 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$841,679.37Regulatory Fees
$1,905.10
Total Slippage
$12,230.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion, sector rotation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, crash protection, crypto sleeve
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BDRY
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IXP
iShares Global Comm Services ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks