NAIL FTLT w/BDRY Switch
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules‑based “risk thermostat.” Uses S&P 500 trend and a shipping‑ETF heat gauge to set risk. In uptrends it buys or hedges leveraged equity funds; in down/sideways it buys brief dips, rotates to defensives or shorts Nasdaq. Keeps ~10% crypto only in uptrends.
Daily, rules‑based “risk thermostat.”
• Trend: S&P 500 vs long‑term average. A shipping ETF (BDRY) is a growth gauge; if weak, park in T‑Bills (BIL).
• Uptrends: if very “hot” (RSI = 0–100 heat meter), hedge with bonds/defensive sectors/volatility; otherwise buy dips in 3× growth funds (e.g., TQQQ, SOXL, TECL).
• Down/sideways: try oversold bounces; else rotate to staples/bonds or short Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ). A TLT‑vs‑SQQQ strength check picks long vs short.
• Crypto: ~10% in GBTC only if above its 50‑day average.
Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~119% annualized return vs SPY ~28%, Calmar ~5.18, strong risk-adjusted gains. Near-SPY Sharpe, with regime-rotation and hedges—an upside-focused alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.39 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.51% | 13.85% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.77 | |
| 7,243.49% | 74.38% | -10.06% | -16.21% | 1.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$734,348.62Regulatory Fees
$2,004.27
Total Slippage
$12,887.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, sector rotation, leveraged etfs, hedging/shorting, crypto sleeve, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BDRY
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IXP
iShares Global Comm Services ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks