My Bitcoin Holy Shit Moment | Monthly | HTX
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Monthly, it checks if bonds have been rising. If they have, it rides the stronger of Bitcoin (GBTC) or the US dollar (USDU). If not, it makes one contrarian pick from a set of aggressive ETFs with the weakest recent score, then rebalances monthly.
Each month it checks if regular bonds (BND) made money over ~4 months. If yes, it puts everything into the stronger of: GBTC (a fund holding Bitcoin) or USDU (bet on a stronger US dollar), based on ~4‑month trend. If not, it buys 1 ETF with the weakest 1‑month “recent‑moves” score (RSI: low = recently beaten down) from: UGL (2x gold), SVXY (short VIX), TECL (3x tech), BTAL (anti‑beta), USDU (dollar), TBX (bet against 7–10y Treasuries), STIP (short‑term inflation bonds). Rebalances monthly. UGL/SVXY may issue K‑1 tax forms.
Out-of-sample edge: ~22.2% annualized return vs ~18.9% for the S&P, with crypto/dollar momentum in rising-bond regimes and contrarian hedges otherwise. Higher drawdowns but greater upside and diversification as a satellite sleeve.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317.34% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 1,287,346.15% | 145.93% | 2.47% | 1.17% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$128,744,615.37Regulatory Fees
$55,359.36
Total Slippage
$394,928.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto timing, trend/mean‑reversion rotation, monthly rebalance, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk‑on/risk‑off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TBX
ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks