My Bitcoin Holy Shit Moment | Monthly | HTX
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, cash-backed rotation strategy that, when bond-market momentum is positive, selects one asset from seven high-velocity instruments (gold, volatility, leveraged tech, anti-beta, USD, short Treasury, and short-term TIPS) based on the lowest RSI, assigning that asset a 10% weight. It’s a high-risk, tactical tilt with a built-in cash cushion and a bond-condition gate.
- You start with a cash cushion (part of the portfolio is kept in cash).
- Every month you check a bond-market condition: the strategy looks at the bond ETF BND and compares its trailing performance over a window (63 days in the rule). If BND’s cumulative return is above 0, you consider placing a position in the rotation group; if not, you don’t enter the rotation.
- If conditions are met, you enter the Monthly Rotator (aggressive). This rotator looks at seven assets (listed below) and selects the one with the lowest RSI (a momentum indicator that measures recent price strength) over a 25-day window. The idea is to buy the asset that has weakened most recently, hoping it rebounds.
- The seven assets in the rotation are: UGL (leveraged gold), SVXY (short VIX futures, i.e., a bet that volatility stays low), TECL (3x leveraged tech), BTAL (anti-beta hedge), USDU (futures-based USD exposure), TBX (short 7–10 year Treasuries), STIP (short-term inflation-protected bonds).
- The selected asset gets a fixed 10% of the portfolio; other assets in the pool receive zero or no allocation in that month.
- The plan rebalances monthly, so weights are reset at the end of each month based on the same rules.
- The label “K-1s: UGL, SVXY” notes potential tax-document considerations for those components; however, most common ETFs issue 1099s, so verify which form you’ll receive.
- Overall, this is a high-risk, tactical tilt that uses a single winner from a diversified, cross-asset pool under a bond-momentum gate, with a deliberate cash buffer to limit drawdown.
Out-of-sample: 22.21% annualized vs SPY 18.88%; built-in cash cushion and bond-momentum gate guide a seven-asset rotation for higher upside and diversification beyond the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, momentum-rotation, leveraged/alternative, macro-overlay, cash-management, monthly-rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TBX
ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks