My Bitcoin Holy Shit Moment | Monthly | HTX
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, two-mode sleeve. If bonds are doing OK, it makes a concentrated momentum bet on either Bitcoin (GBTC) or the U.S. dollar (USDU). If bonds are weak, it sits mostly in cash and takes a small contrarian punt in a recently beaten‑down ETF. Uses some leveraged funds.
Monthly check: if BND (a broad US bond ETF) had a positive ~4‑month return, put this sleeve 100% into whichever has trended better over ~4 months: GBTC (Bitcoin) or USDU (long U.S. dollar). If bonds are weak, hold mostly cash and put only ~10% into a single ETF—the one with the weakest recent readings (~25 days) among UGL, SVXY, TECL, BTAL, USDU, TBX, or STIP.
Out-of-sample, this sleeve targets higher growth (22.2%/yr vs SPY’s 18.9%), with a lower market beta (~0.68) and a regime-driven defense. Expect bigger drawdowns (~33%), but enhanced diversification and upside potential beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326.26% | 14.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 1,277,981.12% | 146.51% | 0.93% | 0.14% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$127,808,111.66Regulatory Fees
$55,359.36
Total Slippage
$394,928.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Monthly rotation, momentum + mean reversion, bitcoin vs usd, bond toggle, cash-heavy defense, leveraged etfs, contrarian picks
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TBX
ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks