My Bitcoin Holy Shit Moment | Monthly | HTX
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly strategy that uses the bond market as a traffic light: in good conditions it chooses between Bitcoin and the U.S. dollar; in weaker conditions it makes a contrarian bet on one beaten-down alternative asset.
Once a month, the strategy checks whether the broad U.S. bond market (BND) has been rising over the last ~4 months. If yes, it picks either Bitcoin exposure (GBTC) or a strong-U.S.-dollar fund (USDU), choosing whichever has the stronger recent trend.
If bonds have been weak, it switches to a different list and buys the one that looks the most beaten-down recently, betting on a rebound.
Out-of-sample strategy: ~25.5% annualized return vs SPX ~18%, beta ~0.64, Calmar ~0.77. Bond-led signals fuel BTC/USD or beaten-down bets; higher drawdown (~33%) but stronger upside and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 384.76% | 15.26% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 1,548,207.31% | 138.21% | -7.45% | 2.94% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$154,830,731.44Regulatory Fees
$53,722.20
Total Slippage
$511,298.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Monthly, tactical asset allocation, bitcoin, trend-following, mean-reversion, risk-on/risk-off, alternatives
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TBX
ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks