Monthly JNK canary
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A part-defensive, part-tactical strategy: it always keeps 30% in dollar/gold/short bonds, and uses the other 70% to switch among leveraged stocks, leveraged Treasuries, volatility protection, or more defense based on market stress signals.
The portfolio keeps 30% in a defensive basket: the U.S. dollar (UUP), gold (GLD), and short-term Treasury bonds (SHY).
The other 70% watches the stock market and junk bonds. If stocks look dangerously overheated, it buys UVXY, which rises when stock volatility jumps. If junk bonds are beating cash, it buys SSO, a 2x S&P 500 fund. If not, it checks long-term Treasury strength and may buy TMF, a 3x Treasury fund. If stocks look very washed out, it also buys SSO. Otherwise it hides in the defensive basket.
Out-of-sample edge: 25.12% annualized return vs SPY 21.41%, max drawdown 12.01% vs 18.76%, Calmar ~2.09, and lower beta. A 30% defensive sleeve plus tactical levered bets aims to boost upside while reducing risk relative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 4,212.31% | 28.49% | -1.01% | -4.3% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$431,231.08Regulatory Fees
$1,365.55
Total Slippage
$10,003.73
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, risk-on/risk-off, canary signal, leveraged etfs, defensive mix
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
JNK
State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks