Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (50D)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A simple trend‑based global stock portfolio with small‑value tilts that shifts to Treasuries when the S&P 500 falls below its 50‑day average, aiming to join uptrends and cut drawdowns in downturns.
Each day it checks a simple trend on SPY (the main S&P 500 fund): is today’s price above its average over the last 50 trading days?
- If yes: go mostly into stocks — VTI (US), VEA (developed ex‑US), VWO (emerging), plus small‑value tilts AVUV (US) and AVDV (intl).
- If no: keep 30% in those stocks and move 70% into Treasuries (VGSH short‑term, SPTI intermediate).
Out-of-sample, this trend-following global strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500: ~37.1% vs 35.0% annually, Sharpe ~3.06 vs ~2.68, and drawdowns ~3.5% vs 5.1%, by shifting to Treasuries in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.57% | 15.45% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 106.37% | 11.95% | -1.37% | 1.4% | 0.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,637.30Regulatory Fees
$63.67
Total Slippage
$225.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, 50-day ma, global equities, small-cap value tilt, treasuries, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks