Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (50D)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend-following mix: all‑stock globally when the S&P 500 is above its 50‑day average; otherwise, cut stocks to 30% and move 70% into US Treasuries. Broad global exposure with a small‑cap value tilt; aims to reduce drawdowns in downtrends.
Each day we check if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 50‑day average price (average of the last ~2.5 months). If yes: hold stocks—VTI (US), VEA (developed ex‑US), VWO (emerging), AVUV/AVDV (US/int’l small‑value). If not: keep 30% in those stocks and shift 70% to VGSH/SPTI (short/intermediate US Treasuries). Stock exposure spans all major sectors.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns and smaller drawdowns vs SPY. OOS Sharpe 3.06 vs 2.68; annualized return 37.12% vs 35.00%; max drawdown 3.51% vs 5.07%; beta ~0.83. Simple trend switch with global diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.69% | 15.09% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 105.23% | 11.79% | -2.7% | 1.88% | 0.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,522.75Regulatory Fees
$63.83
Total Slippage
$225.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, global equities, factor tilt, momentum, treasuries, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks