Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (50D)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A global stock portfolio that stays aggressive when the market trend looks healthy, but shifts mostly into U.S. Treasuries when the S&P 500 weakens.
This strategy checks one simple signal each day: is the U.S. stock market looking healthy or weak?
It uses SPY (a stand-in for the S&P 500) and compares today’s price to its average price over the last 50 trading days. If SPY is above that average, the portfolio goes mostly into stocks worldwide, with extra emphasis on smaller, cheaper companies. If SPY falls below that average, it cuts stock exposure sharply and moves most of the money into U.S. Treasury bonds.
Global stock strategy with a Treasuries hedge offers steadier, risk-adjusted gains. Out-of-sample drawdown 5.36% vs SPY 8.89%; Calmar 3.40; 18.26% annualized returns—less downside pain with solid growth versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.5 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.69% | 16.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 116.6% | 11.58% | -2.3% | -1.31% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,659.63Regulatory Fees
$82.32
Total Slippage
$266.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, global stocks, small-cap value tilt, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks