Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (50D)
Today’s Change (Feb 15, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based trend strategy: when the S&P 500 is above its 50‑day average, hold global stocks with a small‑value tilt; when it’s below, cut stocks to 30% and shift 70% to short- and intermediate-term US Treasuries.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 50‑day average price. If yes: invest 100% in stocks—VTI (US market), VEA (developed ex‑US), VWO (emerging), plus AVUV/AVDV (small “cheap” stocks). If no: keep 30% in those stocks and move 70% to US Treasury bonds (VGSH short‑term, SPTI intermediate).
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 3.06 vs 2.68; 37.12% vs 34.99% annualized return; Calmar 10.57; 3.51% max drawdown vs 5.07% SPY. Global stocks with small-value tilt deliver higher risk-adjusted gains and better downside protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.74% | 15.6% | -1.73% | 1.75% | 0.82 | |
| 111.05% | 12.44% | 0.31% | 5.18% | 0.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,105.36Regulatory Fees
$61.65
Total Slippage
$213.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, global equities, small-value tilt, moving-average filter, bond hedge, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks