Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (200D)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based global stock portfolio with a small‑value tilt that follows trend. If the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average, stay 100% in stocks; otherwise cut stocks to ~30% and shift ~70% into short/intermediate US Treasuries. Checked daily.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 200‑day average price (the average of the last ~200 trading days).
If yes: invest 100% in global stocks—VTI (US), VEA (developed ex‑US), VWO (emerging) plus small‑value tilts AVUV/AVDV.
If not: keep ~30% in those stocks and move ~70% into US Treasuries—VGSH (short) and SPTI (intermediate).
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms SPY on risk-adjusted return and downside: Sharpe ~3.00 vs 2.68; annualized return ~36.8% vs ~35%; Calmar ~7.6; max drawdown ~4.86% vs ~5.07%; beta ~0.81. Global trend-following with small-value tilt.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.51 | 0.6 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.57% | 15.45% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 110.55% | 12.3% | 0.08% | 4.34% | 0.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,055.08Regulatory Fees
$41.94
Total Slippage
$81.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following (200-day), global equities, small-cap value tilt, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries (short & intermediate)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks