Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (200D)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A stock-heavy portfolio that uses the S&P 500’s long-term trend to decide when to stay aggressive in global stocks and when to shift mostly into safer U.S. Treasury bonds.
This strategy watches SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500, as a simple “market health” signal.
If SPY is above its 200-day average price (its average over about 10 months), the strategy goes mostly into stocks worldwide, led by the U.S.
If SPY falls below that line, it turns cautious: it keeps only 30% in stocks and moves 70% into U.S. Treasury bond funds for stability.
Out-of-sample: ~20.0% annualized return with 8.75% max drawdown, Sharpe 1.57, beta 0.87. Lower market sensitivity and smoother risk than SPY, plus global stocks with Treasuries ballast for steadier growth vs. the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.69% | 16.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 122.81% | 12.03% | -1.75% | 0.82% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,281.06Regulatory Fees
$61.44
Total Slippage
$89.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, global stocks, treasury bonds, small-cap value tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks