Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (200D)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A global stock mix with a small-value tilt that switches between all-stock and a 70% Treasuries/30% stock mix using a simple trend check: SPY above its 200-day average = aggressive; below = defensive. US, developed ex-US, and emerging stocks. Daily checks.
Checks SPY (S&P 500 ETF) against its 200-day average. If SPY is above, go 100% stocks: VTI (US), VEA (dev ex-US), VWO (emerging), plus small-value tilts AVUV (US) and AVDV (intl). If below, shift to 70% US Treasuries via VGSH (short) and SPTI (intermed.), keep 30% in the same stock mix. Stocks cover all sectors; small-value tilts lean more to financials, industrials, energy, materials than big tech. Checked daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return and drawdown: Sharpe ~3.00 vs 2.68, annualized ~36.82% vs 35.00%, max drawdown ~4.86% vs ~5.07%. Global stocks with small-value tilt plus Treasuries hedge.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.51 | 0.6 | 0.78 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.69% | 15.09% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 107.64% | 11.99% | -3.77% | 3.94% | 0.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,764.04Regulatory Fees
$42.10
Total Slippage
$82.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, global stocks, small-cap value tilt, treasuries hedge, risk on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks