Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (100D)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A trend‑guided global stock portfolio with a small‑value tilt. Above the S&P 500’s 100‑day average: 100% stocks. Below: 70% Treasuries and 30% stocks. Checks and rebalances daily.
Each day it checks a simple trend: is the S&P 500 (SPY) price above its average over the last ~100 trading days? SPY is a widely watched gauge of U.S. stocks.
If yes (uptrend), it holds 100% stocks across U.S., foreign developed, and emerging markets, with extra in smaller, cheaper companies.
If no (downtrend), it shifts to 70% U.S. Treasury bonds (short + intermediate) and keeps 30% in the same stock mix. It rebalances to these targets daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 2.99 vs SPY 2.68; annualized return 36.82% vs ~35%; max drawdown 4.86% vs 5.07%; beta ~0.81; Calmar 7.58. Global, trend-driven, small-value tilt aims for higher risk-adjusted returns and smaller drawdowns vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 0.5 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152.98% | 15.56% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 129.53% | 13.82% | -0.48% | 5.24% | 1.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,952.91Regulatory Fees
$47.86
Total Slippage
$121.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, moving-average filter, global equities, small-cap value tilt, treasuries hedge, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks