Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (100D)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A global stock portfolio that stays aggressive when the U.S. market trend looks healthy, but shifts mostly into Treasury bonds when that trend weakens.
The strategy uses the S&P 500 (via SPY) as a market “weather gauge.” If SPY is above its 100-day average price, it invests fully in a diversified stock mix: U.S., foreign developed, emerging markets, and smaller bargain-priced companies.
If SPY falls below that average, it cuts stocks from 100% to 30% and moves 70% into U.S. Treasury bonds for safety.
Risk-controlled global equity strategy with a trend filter. Out-of-sample return ~21% annually, max drawdown ~7.5% vs SPY ~8.9%, Calmar ~2.8, Sharpe ~1.68. Slightly lower raw return than the S&P, but far smoother with better downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.69% | 16.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 144.15% | 13.49% | -1.75% | 0.82% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$24,415.38Regulatory Fees
$66.18
Total Slippage
$130.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Global equities, trend-following, tactical asset allocation, risk-managed, treasury defense, small-cap value tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks