Modified BF Portfolio with Stock Emphasis (100D)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily trend-following global stock portfolio with a small‑value tilt that shifts ~70% into U.S. Treasuries when the S&P 500 falls below its 100‑day average to reduce drawdowns.
Each day it checks if SPY (an S&P 500 fund) is above its average price over the last ~100 trading days. If yes, it goes 100% into global stocks with a tilt to smaller, cheaper companies: VTI=US, VEA=developed ex‑US, VWO=emerging, AVUV & AVDV=small‑value. If not, it cuts stocks to ~30% and parks ~70% in U.S. Treasuries (VGSH short‑term, SPTI intermediate). It rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted return (Sharpe 2.99 vs 2.68), stronger upside (36.8% vs 35.0%), smaller drawdowns (4.86% vs 5.07%), and lower beta (~0.81). Trend-following with Treasuries hedging reduces risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.5 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.69% | 15.09% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 123.08% | 13.24% | -4.5% | 3.16% | 1.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,307.50Regulatory Fees
$48.49
Total Slippage
$125.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, global equities, small-cap value tilt, risk-on/risk-off, 100-day moving average, treasuries hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks