Modern Permanent Portfolio (Public Edition)
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
A monthly, rules‑based “modern permanent portfolio” that balances growth, bonds, income, and inflation hedges. It goes on offense when trends are strong and shifts to defensive assets when they’re not, plus a small cash/gold/bitcoin core.
Each month money is spread across four sleeves: Growth (stocks), Bonds (deflation hedge), Income funds, and an Inflation hedge. It checks simple trends: if something has been rising (recent average > older average, or 1‑month return beats Treasuries), it uses the “offense” version (stock indexes, sometimes leveraged, or commodities). If not, it switches to “defense” (market‑neutral BTAL, dividend funds, or Treasuries). A small core always holds T‑Bills, gold, and bitcoin.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.45 vs 1.31, drawdown 12.6% vs 18.8%. A four-sleeve, rules-based mix with a core - growth, deflation, income, inflation hedge - lowers risk and improves risk-adjusted returns versus the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical, trend-following, defensive overlays, income, equities, bonds, commodities, inflation hedge, global diversification
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDW
Vanguard Total World Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CEFS
Saba Closed-End Funds ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DEFI
Hashdex Commodities Trust
Stocks
DEM
WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Fund
Stocks