Mining Leads Commodities (and thus bonds / inflation)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A complex market-timing strategy that tries to detect inflation vs. disinflation, then rotates daily between commodities, bonds, defensive sectors, tech, and hedges based on trend, stress, and short-term “too hot/too cold” signals.
This strategy is a daily-updating market “switchboard.” It first decides whether the world looks more inflationary or more disinflationary by watching metals and mining stocks.
If inflation seems stronger, it leans toward oil, natural gas, commodities, energy, mining, and some financial stocks. If inflation seems weaker, it leans more toward long-term bonds, defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples, healthcare, gold, and sometimes tech.
It then adds short-term checks to see if markets look overheated or washed out. Those checks can make it briefly buy a beaten-down area, add protection during panic, or bet against assets that have surged too far too fast.
It also has special side systems just for oil, natural gas, bonds, and market volatility.
Out-of-sample: ~25.6%/yr vs ~19.8% for S&P; max drawdown ~9.4% vs ~14.7%; Sharpe ~1.28 vs ~1.14; Calmar ~2.73; beta ~0.67. A macro-rotation offers higher upside with stronger downside protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487.63% | 14.12% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.87 | |
| 29,249.08% | 52.77% | 2.23% | 10.6% | 3.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,934,907.87Regulatory Fees
$15,935.22
Total Slippage
$121,813.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro, tactical asset allocation, inflation/disinflation, commodities, bonds, sector rotation, long-short, volatility
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 80 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Stocks
AMLP
Alerian MLP ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIZD
VanEck BDC Income ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BZQ
ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks