microstrategy or tragedy?
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical MicroStrategy (MSTR) strategy that shifts between MSTR, a 2x long MSTR ETF (MSTU), and a 2x inverse MSTR ETF (MSTZ) using simple price averages. It can be ~1.5x long in strong uptrends, near flat in mixed signals, or ~2x against in downtrends.
Tickers: MSTR=MicroStrategy (stock). MSTU≈2x MSTR each day. MSTZ≈-2x MSTR each day.
Portfolio = two equal slices.
Rule 1 (short-term): if MSTR’s 9-day average price > 10-day, hold MSTU; otherwise follow Rule 2.
Rule 2 (trend): if MSTR’s 50-day average > 200-day, hold MSTR; else hold MSTZ.
Outcomes: up+up -> ~1.5x long; up+down -> ~1x long; down+up -> ~flat; down+down -> ~2x against.
Out-of-sample results are negative: around -52% annualized return, -0.25 Sharpe, and ~27% drawdown vs S&P. Not suitable as core; only a tiny, risk-controlled satellite for crypto-like exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.41 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.58% | 15.69% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 533.19% | 256.35% | -59.19% | -20.07% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$63,318.80Regulatory Fees
$18.41
Total Slippage
$100.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 25, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Single-stock tactical, trend-following, momentum, leveraged etfs, crypto proxy, daily rebalanced, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 3 assets in total
Ticker
Type
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
MSTU
T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF
Stocks
MSTZ
T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF
Stocks