Metals Contrarian Switch w/ some leverage and better protection from tech bubbles
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, contrarian, all‑in strategy. If a leveraged Nasdaq fund looks extremely oversold, it buys the most beaten‑down 3× tech/semis ETF; otherwise it buys the most beaten‑down metals/steel/gold fund. Single‑ETF, leveraged, high risk.
Daily: 1) Compute RSI on TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100). RSI is a 0–100 gauge of recent moves; <25 = very oversold. 2) If <25: buy 100% of the worst 10‑day performer among TQQQ, TECL (3× tech), SOXL (3× semis). 3) Else: buy 100% of the worst 10‑day performer among CPER (copper), SLV (silver), PALL (palladium), PPLT (platinum), SLX (steel stocks), UGL (2× gold). Holds one ETF; rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~6.1 vs SPY ~1.76; annualized return ~562% vs ~17.6%; Calmar ~111. High risk-adjusted upside: extreme-oversold trigger for leveraged tech, otherwise metals - outperforming the S&P on a risk-adjusted basis.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.09 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.54% | 14.53% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 43,608,331.02% | 148.62% | 1.4% | 20.61% | 1.47 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,360,843,102.40Regulatory Fees
$17,813,893.72
Total Slippage
$128,085,049.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, mean reversion, tactical, daily rebalanced, leveraged etfs, tech, semiconductors, metals, precious metals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks