Metals Contrarian Switch w/ some leverage and better protection from tech bubbles
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily contrarian switch: if Big Tech is extremely oversold, buy the worst‑hit leveraged tech fund; otherwise buy the worst‑hit metals/steel/gold fund. Always 100% in one pick; high risk, aiming for quick rebounds.
Each day it goes all‑in on one ETF. It first checks Big Tech using RSI, a 0–100 gauge of recent up vs. down days; below 25 = very oversold.
If oversold: buy the biggest 10‑day loser among leveraged tech/semis (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL).
Else: buy the biggest 10‑day loser among metals/steel/gold (CPER=copper, SLV=silver, PALL=palladium, PPLT=platinum, SLX=steel, UGL=2× gold). Repeats daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: Sharpe ~6.1 (vs 1.76), alpha ~1.84%, Calmar ~111, with max drawdown ~5.04% vs ~2.58% for the S&P, and notable upside when tech rebounds.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.09 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.38% | 14.69% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.91 | |
| 46,666,573.53% | 150.32% | 7.96% | 35.66% | 1.47 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,666,667,352.69Regulatory Fees
$17,192,750.83
Total Slippage
$123,617,202.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, mean reversion, tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, metals & commodities, tech & semis, daily rebalance, single-etf concentration
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks