Metals Contrarian Switch w/ some leverage and better protection from tech bubbles
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
A daily “buy the dip” switch. If tech is deeply oversold, jump into the hardest‑hit leveraged tech fund; otherwise, rotate into the most beaten‑down metals/steel fund. Always 100% in one ETF—highly volatile and concentrated.
Each day, check a “heat meter” (RSI) on TQQQ, a triple‑speed Nasdaq fund. If that meter is under 25 (tech just fell hard), buy the weakest 10‑day name among TQQQ/TECL/SOXL (all triple‑speed tech/semis). Otherwise, buy the weakest 10‑day metal/steel fund from CPER (copper), SLV (silver), PALL (palladium), PPLT (platinum), SLX (steel stocks), or UGL (2x gold). Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 6.10 vs SPY 1.76; annualized return 562% vs 17.6%; Calmar ~111; alpha ~1.84%. A 100% invested, single-ETF contrarian strategy that buys the dip in tech or metals—stronger risk-adjusted gains than the S&P 500 (with higher drawdowns).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 1.09 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.75% | 14.82% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.91 | |
| 49,637,274.25% | 151.99% | 15.24% | 61.55% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,963,737,424.95Regulatory Fees
$16,789,661.03
Total Slippage
$120,717,785.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, technology, metals, commodities, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks