Metals Contrarian Switch FrankRound edit (257,33,2011)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A daily contrarian strategy: buy oversold leveraged stock funds after sharp market drops, buy UVXY when stocks look overheated, otherwise buy the weakest metal fund for a rebound.
This strategy is a fast-moving contrarian system that holds just one position at a time and checks the market every day.
If the stock market has fallen unusually hard recently, it buys the most beaten-up aggressive stock fund from a small list of leveraged tech and S&P 500 funds, expecting a rebound.
If the market has risen too far too fast, it buys UVXY, a product that tends to jump when fear spikes.
Otherwise, it buys the metal-related fund that has fallen the most over the last 10 days, hoping for a bounce.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.62, Calmar 4.27, annualized return ~140%, max drawdown ~33% vs SPY ~12%. A disciplined, single-asset contrarian strategy targeting strong upside with defined risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 1.24 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703.21% | 15.05% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 8,171,977,738.72% | 240.85% | -4.36% | 46.22% | 1.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$817,197,783,872.17Regulatory Fees
$2,254,164,694.20
Total Slippage
$8,831,711,956.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, mean reversion, leveraged equities, metals, volatility trading, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks