Metals Contrarian Switch FrankRound edit (257,33,2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily contrarian switch: oversold QQQ/SPY → buy the most beaten‑down 3x stock ETF; overheated → buy UVXY; otherwise → buy the weakest metal/steel fund. Holds one ETF at a time. Very high risk.
Each day it checks a heat gauge (RSI) on QQQ and SPY: low (<30) = washed out; high (>79) = overheated.
If washed out, buy the worst 10‑day performer among 3x stock funds (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO).
If overheated, buy UVXY (jumps when fear spikes).
Otherwise, buy the weakest metal/steel fund (GLD, SLV, PPLT, PALL, CPER, SLX). One ETF at a time; very high risk.
Out-of-sample, this strategy shows superior risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P: Calmar ~5.93, Sharpe ~1.81, and ~194% annualized return with ~0.55 alpha. Daily contrarian signals pursue big rebounds; higher drawdowns can occur, but strong compounding potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 1.21 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606.32% | 14.73% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 5,824,473,980.28% | 251.56% | 6.32% | 46.97% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$582,447,408,027.59Regulatory Fees
$1,659,171,872.82
Total Slippage
$7,287,455,184.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian mean reversion, daily rotation, leveraged equity etfs, metals/commodities, volatility timing, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks