Metals Contrarian Switch FrankRound edit (257,33,2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily contrarian switch: buy the weakest 3x tech/market fund when big US indexes look very weak; buy UVXY when they look too hot; otherwise buy the weakest metal/steel fund. Very high risk. Backtest strength relied on a 2014–15 copper spike.
Each day it uses a short‑term strength score on QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) and SPY (S&P 500). If they look very weak, it buys the worst 10‑day performer among TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO (3x bull tech/semis/market) to bet on a rebound.
If they look very hot, it buys UVXY (jumps when stocks fall).
Otherwise it buys the weakest of CPER/GLD/SLV/PALL/PPLT/SLX (copper, gold, silver, palladium, platinum, steel). Rebalances daily. Past gains leaned on a 2014–15 copper surge.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~194% vs ~31.6% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.81 vs ~1.50, Calmar ~6.0. Daily contrarian rotations using leverage/volatility bets offer high upside, but expect higher drawdowns than the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian rotation, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, metals/commodities, tactical, high risk, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks