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Metals Contrarian Switch FrankRound edit (257,33,2011)
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily contrarian switch: buy the weakest 3x tech/market fund when big US indexes look very weak; buy UVXY when they look too hot; otherwise buy the weakest metal/steel fund. Very high risk. Backtest strength relied on a 2014–15 copper spike.
NutHow it works
Each day it uses a short‑term strength score on QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) and SPY (S&P 500). If they look very weak, it buys the worst 10‑day performer among TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO (3x bull tech/semis/market) to bet on a rebound. If they look very hot, it buys UVXY (jumps when stocks fall). Otherwise it buys the weakest of CPER/GLD/SLV/PALL/PPLT/SLX (copper, gold, silver, palladium, platinum, steel). Rebalances daily. Past gains leaned on a 2014–15 copper surge.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~194% vs ~31.6% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.81 vs ~1.50, Calmar ~6.0. Daily contrarian rotations using leverage/volatility bets offer high upside, but expect higher drawdowns than the S&P.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian rotation, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, metals/commodities, tactical, high risk, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSLX. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 184.51%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 32.77%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.