Metals Contrarian Switch (187,35,2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily contrarian strategy: if tech (via TQQQ) looks deeply sold off, buy the weakest leveraged tech fund; otherwise buy the weakest recent performer among gold, silver, copper, platinum, palladium, or steel stocks.
Each day: 1) Check TQQQ’s 10‑day RSI, a 0–100 score of recent price moves (below 30 = very sold off). 2) If RSI<30, buy the single worst 10‑day performer among TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), TECL (3x tech), SOXL (3x semis). 3) Otherwise, buy the single worst 10‑day performer among GLD (gold), SLV (silver), CPER (copper), PPLT (platinum), PALL (palladium), SLX (steel stocks). Rebalanced daily; it’s a contrarian “buy the recent loser.”
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~198% vs S&P ~31.6%, Sharpe ~1.84 vs ~1.50, Calmar ~6.05. Bottom-line: far higher upside with strong risk-adjusted performance, though drawdowns can be ~33% vs SPY ~12%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 1.36 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.54% | 14.53% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 323,605,323.48% | 186.15% | 2.94% | 30.24% | 1.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,360,542,347.84Regulatory Fees
$113,224,883.29
Total Slippage
$814,414,443.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Contrarian, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, metals & mining, technology, semiconductors, tactical, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PALL
abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF
Stocks
PPLT
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SLX
VanEck Steel ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks