Metals Contrarian no FR (10,56,2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily contrarian, single-asset, metals-focused strategy. Each day it buys the worst-performing of five ETFs (gold, silver, palladium, platinum, or steel stocks) over the last 10 days and holds only that asset, rechecking each day. It aims to capitalize on mean-reversion but trades with high turnover and concentrated risk in a metal-themed universe.
- Universe: GLD (gold), SLV (silver), PALL (palladium), PPLT (platinum), SLX (steel equities).
- Window: Look at the last 10 trading days to compute cumulative return for each asset.
- Selection: Pick the single asset with the lowest cumulative return (the worst performer).
- Allocation: Put all available cash into that one asset for the day (effectively 100% in that ETF for that rebalance period).
- Rebalance: Do this every day, potentially switching which asset you hold daily.
- Goal: A contrarian bet—buying what’s underperforming with the expectation it will rebound.
- Caveats: High turnover, concentrated risk (one asset at a time), includes an equity ETF (SLX) which adds stock-market sensitivity, and real-world costs can affect results.
Out-of-sample metals contrarian: Sharpe 3.86 vs SPY 2.34, Calmar 26.3, annualized return ~166% vs ~28%, and beta ~0.58—lower market sensitivity with strong mean-reversion upside; note drawdowns may be higher than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 0.85 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714.56% | 13.9% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 809.36% | 14.68% | 2.98% | 37.72% | 0.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$90,936.03Regulatory Fees
$724.03
Total Slippage
$4,623.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Metals, contrarian, daily rebalance, etf-based, concentrated