Mega Cap extra safe momentum
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Momentum-focused, mega-cap equity exposure with a safety sleeve and volatility hedge; daily rebalance; selects top 3 mega-caps by 90-day momentum when market trend is up, hedges with UVXY if QQQ is extremely overbought, and chases top 3 defensive assets by 20-day momentum when appropriate.
- The strategy runs daily and decides between two main sleeves: a mega-cap momentum sleeve and a defensive sleeve, with a volatility hedge under certain conditions.
- Trend filter: It looks at QQQ (a basket of big Nasdaq/mega-cap names) and checks if its price is above its long-term trend (a moving average over 175 days). If QQQ is above this long-term trend, the system considers taking positions in mega-cap stocks based on momentum.
- Momentum ranking: When the trend condition is met, it ranks a group of mega-cap stocks (AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, NVDA, etc.) by how much they have gained over the last 90 days (cumulative return) and picks the top 3 to invest in, allocating roughly equally among them (cash-equal weighting).
- Defensive sleeve: Independently, the system maintains a safety sleeve consisting of TMF (long bonds), PDBC (commodities), GLD (gold), IEO (oil & gas), XLU (utilities), and USDU (the dollar). If those assets show better 20-day momentum, the top 3 among them are selected and weighted, providing a defensive ballast.
- Volatility hedge: If the market shows extreme momentum in QQQ (RSI on QQQ with a 14‑day window exceeds 79), the strategy adds UVXY (a volatility product) to the mix as a hedge. This reflects a move to protect against sudden volatility spikes when breadth looks overextended.
- The system uses a mix of conditions: (i) a trend check with current price vs. 175-day moving average, (ii) a momentum ranking using 90-day cumulative returns, and (iii) a volatility hedge trigger based on RSI, to decide allocations between the mega-cap momentum basket and the defensive sleeve. The final allocation is guided by “cash-equal” positioning within the chosen assets, and the overall portfolio is rebalanced daily.
- Indicators explained in plain language:
RSI (relative strength index) is a momentum gauge that suggests overbought/oversold conditions; a very high RSI like 79 indicates extreme price strength and potential pullback risk. The moving-average price (over 175 days) is a long-term trend line; being above it signals an uptrend. Cumulative return over 90 days is a momentum measure showing which assets have performed best recently.</br>
Out-of-sample edge: 33.8% annualized return with ~1.17 Sharpe vs S&P ~19.6% and ~1.10. Calmar ~1.33; higher drawdown but stronger risk-adjusted gains. Mega-cap momentum with hedges and a defensive sleeve provide disciplined, diversified upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293.15% | 12.95% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 47,258.09% | 72.94% | -2.39% | -0.27% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,735,808.86Regulatory Fees
$12,346.90
Total Slippage
$82,474.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 31, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, mega-cap, risk-managed, hedged, multi-asset assets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HD
Home Depot, Inc.
Stocks