Mean Reversion (QQQ)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
QQQ‑first with a trend filter and buy‑the‑dip twist: own QQQ in uptrends or on oversold dips; otherwise rotate into the most beaten‑down defensive option among XLP (staples), XLU (utilities), or VBF (bond fund). Rebalanced daily.
It watches QQQ (the Nasdaq‑100, heavy in big tech). Trend test: if QQQ’s 50‑day avg price is above its 200‑day, it’s an uptrend.
Uptrend: hold QQQ when 20‑day results are strong or when QQQ looks “oversold” (RSI<30; a simple gauge where below 30 = washed‑out). Otherwise, hold the single most beaten‑down defensive fund: XLP (consumer staples), XLU (utilities), or VBF (a bond fund).
Downtrend: only buy QQQ when oversold; else use that defensive pick. Checked daily; one holding at a time.
Tech-forward, rule-based strategy that captures uptrends in QQQ and rotates to defensives when signals soften. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.27 and Calmar ~2.13 show meaningful risk-adjusted returns and regime-driven diversification versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 0.65 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656.38% | 8.05% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.5 | |
| 48,165.09% | 26.66% | 0.17% | -4.05% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,826,509.02Regulatory Fees
$29,494.82
Total Slippage
$187,007.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Qqq focus, mean reversion, trend following, rsi filter, defensive rotation, sector/bond tilt, daily rebalance