Mean Reversion QLD (2X Leverage)
Today’s Change (Oct 12, 2026)
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About
Daily, it rides NASDAQ-100 strength with 2x QLD and buys sharp dips; otherwise it holds one oversold defensive fund (XLP, XLU, or VBF). Uses 50/200-day trend, 20-day returns, and short-term RSI to switch.
Each day it checks the NASDAQ-100 (ticker QQQ). If QQQ’s 50-day average price is above its 200-day and recent 20-day returns are >1%, or if QQQ looks oversold (RSI<30; a short-term gauge of how fast price fell), it buys QLD, a 2x fund tied to QQQ. Otherwise it holds one defensive fund - consumer staples (XLP), utilities (XLU), or a bond fund (VBF) - picking the one that is most oversold. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~39.7% with Calmar ~2.01, delivering a strong risk-adjusted edge vs the S&P. Daily signals drive leveraged QLD exposure on momentum or dips, or rotate to the most oversold defensives for disciplined upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.07 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801.75% | 11.46% | 2.37% | 3.83% | 0.66 | |
| 331,539.66% | 49.17% | 7.54% | -0.08% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$33,163,966.49Regulatory Fees
$90,670.69
Total Slippage
$809,779.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 19, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etf (qld), nasdaq-100 signals, defensive rotation (xlp/xlu/vbf), daily rebalancing