Mean Reversion QLD (2X Leverage)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Rides the Nasdaq‑100 with 2x leverage in strong uptrends or on sharp dips; otherwise shifts to the most oversold defensive ETF (and sometimes cash). Signals come from QQQ; positions rebalance daily.
It uses QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) as a thermometer and QLD (its 2x version) to invest.
1) If QQQ’s 50‑day average price is above its 200‑day (uptrend) AND its last ~20 days were solidly positive, buy QLD.
2) If QQQ looks short‑term “oversold” (RSI<30), buy QLD for a bounce.
3) Otherwise, park in one defensive ETF—Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU), or a bond fund (VBF)—whichever is most “oversold.” Rebalanced daily; may hold some cash when defensive.
Cap Nasdaq-100 upside with 2x leverage on uptrends or dips, then rotate to oversold defensives. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.97 and Calmar ~1.51 offer solid risk-adjusted performance vs SPY with regime-aware risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 682.93% | 11.03% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.63 | |
| 240,105.94% | 48.55% | 3.34% | -6.69% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$24,020,594.15Regulatory Fees
$95,507.85
Total Slippage
$650,200.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 19, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, nasdaq-100 focus, defensive rotation, daily rebalance