Mean Reversion QLD (2X Leverage)
Today’s Change (Jul 12, 2026)
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About
Daily, it rides NASDAQ-100 strength with 2x QLD and buys sharp dips; otherwise it holds one oversold defensive fund (XLP, XLU, or VBF). Uses 50/200-day trend, 20-day returns, and short-term RSI to switch.
Each day it checks the NASDAQ-100 (ticker QQQ). If QQQ’s 50-day average price is above its 200-day and recent 20-day returns are >1%, or if QQQ looks oversold (RSI<30; a short-term gauge of how fast price fell), it buys QLD, a 2x fund tied to QQQ. Otherwise it holds one defensive fund - consumer staples (XLP), utilities (XLU), or a bond fund (VBF) - picking the one that is most oversold. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~52% annualized return vs ~27% S&P, with Calmar ~2.66 signaling solid risk-adjusted upside. Higher drawdown (~20% vs ~9%), but levered NASDAQ-100 exposure plus disciplined defensives aim for stronger long-run growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 772.17% | 11.43% | 4.34% | 11.4% | 0.65 | |
| 335,069.58% | 50.01% | 1.76% | 34.51% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$33,516,957.93Regulatory Fees
$81,947.71
Total Slippage
$736,025.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 19, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etf (qld), nasdaq-100 signals, defensive rotation (xlp/xlu/vbf), daily rebalancing