Mean Reversion Discovery | Short Backtest
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based switch: ride tech rebounds (TECL) after short-term dips, buy volatility (UVXY) after extreme spikes, or sit in T‑bills (SHV), all gated by the market’s 200‑day trend. Exposures: tech, equity volatility, and cash-like Treasuries.
First, check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (uptrend). If yes: when the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) looks washed out (10‑day RSI <42), buy TECL (triple‑long tech). If markets look overheated (QQQ or SPY RSI >80), buy UVXY (volatility). Otherwise park in SHV (T‑bills). If SPY is below its 200‑day (downtrend), only buy TECL on very deep dips (QQQ RSI <31); else hold SHV. RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; low=oversold, high=overbought.
Regime-driven rotation across tech, volatility, and cash diversifies SPY and targets tech rebounds plus volatility spikes. In OOS, returns are ~9.36% vs ~19.36% SPY, with ~41% drawdown vs ~19%—but adds diversification and tactical exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.68 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.81% | 15.5% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.94 | |
| 254,609.36% | 72.73% | 15.7% | 32.27% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,470,935.57Regulatory Fees
$58,683.71
Total Slippage
$410,584.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend filter, mean reversion, volatility spike bet, leveraged etfs, tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total