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Mean Reversion Discovery | Long Backtest
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily mean-reversion backtest that buys TECL when QQQ looks oversold on a short window, using a market-trend filter (SPY vs 200-day MA) to decide whether to stay in or move to bonds/cash; it rebalances daily and uses RSI and moving-average checks to drive position changes.
NutHow it works
- The strategy rebalances daily and starts from an effectively cash-equivalent position. - It looks at QQQ's 10-day RSI. If RSI(QQQ,10) is below 42 (oversold), it buys TECL with a full position (100% of capital). - If that oversold condition isn’t met, it checks SPY’s price against its 200-day moving average. If SPY > SPY's 200-day MA, it may still place a TECL tilt but under a secondary RSI check (RSI(QQQ,10) < 31). - If the market signal isn’t favorable (e.g., SPY not above the 200-day MA, or RSI thresholds aren’t met), the strategy shifts toward safer cash/bond exposures: SHV (short Treasuries) or TLT (long Treasuries) depending on other RSIs or checks. - There are additional nested checks that reference other assets (TLT, SHV, SPY) and confirm whether to proceed with TECL or move to a bond/short-bond sleeve. - The intended logic is that TECL is deployed when short-term tech is oversold and the market backdrop is supportive; otherwise, capital is parked in safer instruments or cash to avoid downside.
CheckmarkValue prop
Rules-based tech tilt: buys TECL on QQQ oversold, uses SPY trend filters, and shifts to cash/bonds when signals weaken. A transparent complement to the S&P 500 with disciplined risk management. OOS: 7.9% vs 19.1%.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean reversion, tactical allocation, rsi, moving average, leveraged etfs, backtesting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSHV. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 19.86%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 41.39%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.