Mean Reversion Discovery | Long Backtest
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
Daily, buy 3× tech (TECL) on short‑term dips in a broad uptrend; if markets look very hot, switch to long Treasuries (TLT); otherwise sit in T‑bills (SHV). In downtrends, only buy very extreme dips; else stay in SHV.
Each day: check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (a long‑term trend line).
If yes: when the NASDAQ‑100 (QQQ) looks short‑term “cold” (10‑day RSI: a 0–100 heat score; low=cold, high=hot) below 42, buy TECL (3× tech). If QQQ or SPY are very hot (RSI>80), hold TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). Otherwise hold SHV (T‑bills).
If SPY is below its 200‑day: only buy TECL on very extreme dips (RSI<31); else SHV.
Tactical sleeve across TECL, TLT, and SHV to ride tech dips and hedge hot markets. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.38 and Calmar ~0.19 indicate a positive risk-adjusted edge plus diversification beyond SPY (not a SPY replacement).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.76 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 941.75% | 14.65% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.86 | |
| 19,347.57% | 35.99% | 15.7% | 32.27% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,944,756.92Regulatory Fees
$5,764.01
Total Slippage
$36,430.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean reversion, trend filter, leveraged tech, treasuries, cash, tactical allocation, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total