MBND vs XLE
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
Daily, switch 100% between QQQ and BTAL by comparing 10‑day “recent strength” of muni bonds (MBND) vs energy (XLE). If munis lead, go QQQ (tech). If energy leads, go defensive with BTAL. Designed to ride tech in falling‑rate regimes and de‑risk otherwise.
Each day it compares a 10‑day “recent strength” score (RSI) for two markets: municipal bonds (MBND) and energy stocks (XLE). RSI is a 0–100 gauge of how much price has been rising vs falling lately. If munis score higher, 100% goes to QQQ (big tech). Otherwise, 100% goes to BTAL (defensive long‑low‑beta/short‑high‑beta). Rebalanced daily.
Goal: own tech when falling rates help it, be defensive when energy leadership signals inflation/rising rates.
Regime-aware 100% switch between QQQ and BTAL using MBND/XLE RSI. Seeks tech upside in falling-rate regimes and defense in inflation. Out-of-sample data are limited and show little/negative alpha vs SPY - primarily a diversification and risk-control tool.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89.36% | 13.66% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.84 | |
| 399.16% | 38.03% | 10% | 6.71% | 1.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$49,916.23Regulatory Fees
$128.51
Total Slippage
$773.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, cross-asset momentum (rsi), daily switch, nasdaq-100 vs market-neutral, muni bonds vs energy