MbM | SVXY FTLT v2 | Trend and Vol | BT 2011 | LIVE 5.9.24-8.21.25 +256% *run until wash then reboot clean
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based, live strategy that toggles between short-volatility exposure (SVXY) and leveraged equity bets, using momentum and volatility signals with hedges to safeguard against spikes in risk. It relies on a front-runner selection among assets, standard deviation and RSI-style signals, and tight risk checks to aim for upside in calm markets and protection in volatile periods.
- Purpose: to participate in the market using short-volatility exposure when conditions look favorable, while protecting against spikes in volatility and drawdown.
- Core asset: SVXY (ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF) as the main long position when signals allow. UVXY (long volatility) is monitored as part of the conditional checks, often as a threshold gate for risk-on/off decisions.
- Signals used: volatility level and its trend (StD or standard deviation) for SVXY and the broader market; momentum indicators that resemble RSI on market proxies (e.g., QQQ, SPY) to gauge overbought/overheated conditions; and a price-mersistence view via moving-average returns.
- Decision nodes: many nested “if” checks decide whether to go 100% into SVXY, 100% into a leveraged equity ETF group (the “Cheap LETFs” like TQQQ, SOXL, TECL, UDOW, SPXL), or to move into hedges/cash.
- Frontrunner: a mechanism that scans candidates (SVXY, SPXL, SPX proxies, etc.) and selects the top-performing option under current rules (e.g., moving-average return, price/current strength).
- Risk controls: includes max drawdown checks, thresholds (e.g., RSI thresholds like 79, 75 in specific asset checks), and StD-based filters to avoid entering when volatility is extreme or rising.
- Short hedges: uses short or anti-beta hedges (BTAL, SH) to reduce downside risk during adverse markets.
- Rebalancing: corridor width set to 0.1 with “rebalance: none,” implying limited automatic reallocation, focusing on signal-driven changes rather than routine rebalancing.
- Timeframe and evolution: the strategy references early 3d/15d trend inputs and has evolved to include more StD levels and trend checks; the label indicates a live, ongoing deployment with a specific time window.
- Outcome aim: a managed exposure that tries to harvest upside from low-volatility regimes via SVXY and leverage-only equity bets when signals permit, while using hedges to limit major drawdowns during spikes in volatility.
Diversification and volatility-aware hedging: low SPY beta, SVXY-based tilts, and protective hedges for risk-off periods. A complement to the S&P 500, not a replacement; note the out-of-sample results show higher drawdowns and negative returns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, volatility-aware, short-volatility tilts, tactical etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPYV
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks