Maximum Overdrive (TQQQ | Not)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, regime-based strategy that toggles between leveraged Nasdaq exposure (TQQQ) and defensive assets (cash, bonds, volatility hedges) using momentum, trend, and risk signals to seek upside while limiting drawdowns.
In plain terms: the system starts with a small core of leveraged Nasdaq exposure (TQQQ) and adjusts up or down every day using several checks. If price momentum looks strong and volatility is calm, it increases TQQQ. If prices weaken or volatility spikes (measured via signals like RSI, moving averages, and indicators related to drawdown and returns), it shifts into safer options such as cash (BIL) or bonds (QQQ/ SPY proxies, IEF, TLT). The strategy explicitly models different market moods (Normal market, Huge volatility, Bond > Stock, etc.) and picks a corresponding mix of assets. It uses simple, intuitive ideas in place of the jargon: is the price trend going up? Is risk rising? Should I stay invested or protect capital? Tickers like VIXY (volatility), BIL (short-term cash), QQQ (tech-heavy index), SPY (broad market), and various bond ETFs are used as levers to tilt risk. It can substitute other tickers (for example, a less-popular ETF like KMLM) because the framework treats each ticker as a tradable instrument reaching the same kinds of signals. The daily rebalance means the allocation can swing toward aggressive bets when the market looks strong and toward safety when it doesn’t. RSI is described here as a momentum gauge, moving-average-price as a trend check, and cumulative-return as a history check for recent performance. Overall, the goal is to capture big up moves with leverage when conditions favor them, but to protect capital when conditions deteriorate by rotating into safer assets.
Dynamic, regime-based overlay tilting daily between leveraged Nasdaq exposure and defensive assets. Out-of-sample return ~10.9% with built-in risk controls, designed to capture upside in favorable regimes while adding diversification versus a pure S&P 500 exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 2.4 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585.13% | 14.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 59,203,186.59% | 156.21% | 12.91% | 9.6% | 1.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,920,328,658.92Regulatory Fees
$22,427,466.18
Total Slippage
$161,296,250.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, dynamic allocation, volatility hedging, bond/stock rotation, multi-asset strategy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks