Maximum Overdrive (BIL)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily-tactical strategy that uses momentum signals to tilt into leveraged semiconductor bets (SOXL/SOXS) when conditions look favorable, but moves into near-cash (BIL) and bonds during risk-off periods; it uses RSI-based checks on VIX-related volatility, bonds vs. equities, and SMH to control exposure to semiconductors and protect capital.
- Goal: ride semiconductor momentum when conditions are favorable, but protect capital in risk-off periods using near-cash.
- Safety sleeve: when market fear or risk is high (e.g., RSI(VIXM,14) > 70), the system moves toward BIL (near-cash) and avoids aggressive bets.
- Bond vs. equity gauge: if RSI(BND,15) > RSI(QQQ,15), prioritize bonds/risk-off relative strength; otherwise stay more flexible with equity/sector bets.
- Semiconductor tilt: when not in risk-off, use SMH momentum to decide semiconductor bets:
• If SMH RSI is below ~65, go long SOXL (3x levered semiconductor bull).
• If SMH RSI is above ~75, hedge by using SOXS (3x levered semiconductor bear).
• If SMH becomes deeply oversold (RSI below ~25), tilt back toward SOXL to attempt a bounce.
- Core exposure: alongside the levered moves, a baseline exposure via SOXX (broad semiconductors) is maintained unless overridden by the extreme risk rules.
- Rebalance: daily, with a lookback context up to ~90 days for some condition checks.
- Assets used include: BIL (cash-like), BND (bonds), QQQ ( Nasdaq 100), SMH (semiconductors index), SOXL (3x semiconductors bull), SOXS (3x bears), SOXX (semiconductors ETF).
- Practical takeaway: if you don’t understand leverage or rapid drawdowns, this is a high-risk approach that aims for big upside in a favored sector but can swing sharply in short periods.
A risk-managed semiconductor momentum overlay with a risk-off sleeve. It diversifies an S&P core by shifting to near-cash/bonds in volatility, seeking upside in favorable tech cycles—designed as diversification, not a substitute.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 1.79 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585.13% | 14.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 634,212.42% | 85.85% | 17.03% | 40.65% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$63,431,242.12Regulatory Fees
$158,906.28
Total Slippage
$1,129,020.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum-based, levered etfs, risk-management, semiconductor exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks